00Why
Finance has a clock. Most training data does not keep it.
A model that has read the restated filing, the next quarter and the price path cannot be scored on whether it would have got there on its own. The literature measures the leak; the benchmarks measure what is left when it is closed.
0.61% → 16.87%
GPT-4o's error recalling S&P 500 daily closes before its training cutoff, and after it. Telling the model to ignore later knowledge does not close the gap; masking the company does not either.
Lopez-Lira, Tang & Zhu, The Memorization Problem · arXiv 2504.14765 · 2025
~60%
of realistic financial-analysis tasks fail with frontier models — hand-spreading, accounting conventions, incomplete information.
FinanceQA, AfterQuery · arXiv 2501.18062 · Jan 2025
34.5%
is the best any model scores on the financial-modelling tasks of the leading independent finance-agent benchmark. Overall, the best model reaches 67.9%.
Vals AI, Finance Agent Benchmark v2.1 · vals.ai · 29 Oct 2026
30.4%
of one frontier model's runs on a research-engineering benchmark were reward hacks: the score was earned without doing the task. Which is why the verifier is audited before the pack ships.
METR, evaluation of OpenAI o3 · metr.org · 2025